Hard Spun at the Wire?

I am thinking that if there were ever a time Hard Spun could beat Street Sense I think his best chance is in this Saturday's Kentucky Cup at Turfway.

There are only 5 horses signed on and no real early speedsters to push the early pace. Therefore Hard Spun should have things pretty much his own way as far as the early pace is concerned.

I mean imagine how far Hard Spun could run if the early fractions were run in about a :47 half mile and a 3/4's in 1:12?

Now we have seen Street Sense get out of his comfort zone and stay closer to the early pace in the Travers and prior in the Jim Dandy and still have enough fire to finish strong. However those early pace fractions were pretty slow.

In the Kentucky Cup the question that arises is can Street Sense stay as close to a quicker early pace and still have enough fire to outfinish a quality speed horse such as Hard Spun who figures to be setting his own pace?

Or perhaps if Street's rider Calvin Borel feels the early pace is too quick where Street Sense will have to use too much energy to get close to Hard Spun, he might just wait it out and try and make that prolonged run on the turn and hope it's good enough to overtake Hard Spun in the stretch.

Very Interesting.

Lawyer Ron vs Street Sense

Lawyer Ron has moved to the top of the Handicap Division and must be considerd the favorite to take down the Breeders' Cup Chmpionship at this time. Lawyer Ron proved his race in the Whitney was not a fluke by crushing the field in the Woodward. When he got to the front it looked like he might start to get leg weary however he kicked in and kicked home looking very strong. Early Betting Line 3-1

Street Sense did well to gut out a victory in the Travers as he looked his rival, Grasshopper in the eye and gutted out the victory. However Street shouldn't have had so much trouble winning that race. I do realize horses improve and also get brave when left alone on an easy lead but Street did not look to be at his best or run with his usual fire.

Afterwards trainer Carl Nafzger mentioned several races that Street Sense might go in as a prep for the BC Championship however at the end of his thoughts he also mentioned that Street might not have a prep and just train up to the big race.

I am betting that Street Sense skips the preps and trains up to the Breeders' Cup because in my opinion he looked like a tired horse. Simple as that. And for him to pull off the BC Cup he is going to have to run a race as good - if not better - than he did that first Saturday in May.

Lawyer Ron has an edge in being a 4-year-old and also his running style is perfect because he has very good tactical speed and will be in high gear before Street Sense gets shifted into his top gear.

What do you guys think about all this? Any Opinions at all? Do you agree with me and my logic? Disagree? Let me know what your thinking.