Nick Borg

Horse racing, handicapping, selections, and more!

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Analysis of The Withers

The big race this Saturday in New York is The Withers Stakes and it shapes up to be a very well run, fast and contentious race.

Mr. Fantasy, Everyday Heroes and Supreme Summit seem to be the main early speed types in this race that should find themselves on the early lead. This should make the early pace very hot setting things up for a strong finisher or possibly a horse that can rate off this early battle.

Out of these 3 early speed types it seems that Supreme Summit does not need the early lead to still be able to run a big race and win. And this tactic of sitting off the early pace battle could be a huge advantage.

This Ones for Phil drew the rail post and he too has some early speed, perhaps not quite as fast as the top 3 burners I have already discussed but he too will have an advantageous running position off the early lead and down inside saving a lot of ground.

Just a Coincidence made a big move last time out in the Wood Memorial before weakening late. Coming back in just 3 weeks off his best effort could be asking a bit too much.

Gone Astray comes here in the best condition of his career and has some back-class as he faced some nice fields last year as a 2-year-old in The Futurity and The Champagne. Looks like he might start living up to his potential and should be a big price landing in the Exacta.

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